I've written about early campaigns disguised as product endorsements in my One Political Filipino blog, which I haven't updated in ages -- thanks to my growing disbelief in Philippine politics which started months before this. Many things have changed since that post and the political scene has been reshaped somehow by influential events of late. So, I felt it was a good time to make a somewhat updated version of that post although not entirely dwelling on the "early campaign syndrome". Incidentally, today's news about pulse asia survey has sparked my interest in this topic, hence this post.
Let me begin by saying that until now, no matter how seemingly long ago the campaign period has started, I have yet to decide who to vote for. And although I have been having thoughts on "campaigning" for a specific candidate, however insignificantly it may affect other people's opinion and thereby "sway" them into voting for my choice, I must say that I am, up to this point, still undecided.
The Pulse Asia Top 5 for Presidentiables:
De Castro -- 22%
Estrada -- 16%
Escudero -- 14%
Legarda -- 14%
Villar -- 12%
Although I don't really like surveys because they somehow appear speculative, I know for a fact that these are backed by solid data. And yes, most likely, De Castro might win. I have nothing against De Castro winning. It's just that, I do not see him bringing anything new to the table. I have this personal speculation that a De Castro win will only mean another PGMA win -- a continuation of a PGMA administration. There are obvious advantages and disadvantages to this as I see it. The advantage being, whatever PGMA has started, VP De Castro will most likely (if not definitely) continue or finish. That's good because infrastructures and projects conceptualized in PGMA's time will be accomplished because De Castro will have no reason to prove PGMA wrong. He is, after all, on her side. The disadvantage, however, will be this: People in government appointed during PGMA's time will probably stay there. I doubt seeing major changes in the faces at Malacanang athough of course, some may be added because of "you-know-why" reasons. How can we start anew if these people don't get replaced? Those same people who have given us headaches will continue to plague us with more problems. Not good. So a De Castro win isn't exactly my preference.
Now, Estrada on second place, I say OMGWTFBBQ? Give it a rest, people.
Escudero on third is not news to me. He is one congressman who gained so much popularity just by being anti-PGMA. Everyone likes a rebel. Everyone likes someone who has the guts to challenge authority in such a charismatic way. What's news to me, however, is the idea that he is running for president. I mean, hello? Are you sure he is running? He's only been Senator for how long? I think this is such an ambitious endeavor. At least, at this time. Let the guy prove himself first. And people who love Chiz, please. Don't throw a half-baked candidate in there just because he looks promising as president. If he ever runs, I think he will lose. Remember Loren? Rushing to presidency or vice-presidency has its problems. And I hope Chiz sees that early on. I think he needs to take his time. He is a young idealist. But he needs to prove us all that there is more to him than charisma and idealism. And the only way to do that is to stay longer in the Senate.
Legarda, as I see it, has no chance at presidency. If she were to run for VP, she'd easily run away with it. She has already made the mistake of rushing for VP before, in which she lost, even after an expensive recount where she spent her own money. This will be a repeat of that if she pushes for presidency.
I was born and raised in Las Pinas City so I have a tendency to like Sen. Manny Villar (who has been our Congressman for many terms) -- and I'm not denying that. Living in Las Pinas at that time was pretty satisfying except for occasional traffic frustrations along Casimiro. The city has been recognized as "The Cleanest City in Metro Manila" for many consecutive years and looking back, I felt very proud being a "Las Pinera/Las Pinero". Progress was good and steady in those glorious days and I was happy to witness that. It seems unlikely that Villar will win, though.
However, my vote for 2010 will not go to a candidate that I merely like or can associate myself with. I resolve to votefor someone who I think is capable of moving the country forward. I resolve to vote for a candidate whose values and principles I admire and respect. I will vote for someone who knows how to take sides on issues and doesn't give me "safe" answers in the interest of his political ambition. I will vote for someone who stands by his countrymen even if it means being disowned by his political party.
They say, "good intentions don't always count", and there are many occasions that I actually believed this to be true. But times have changed. Now, more than ever, the challenge to the succeeding President is tougher than ever. We will be needing somebody with a heart -- yes, someone with "good intentions". I believe that Filipinos are very smart -- so much so to our own disadvantage sometimes. We've seen many smart people come and go in the government and yet, many years after, there doesn't seem to appear any significant change in the system or the people who run it. There is no true change. And that is because, everyday, less and less people care. Less and less people carry good intentions in their heart. We have a serious scarcity of people of this sort. Almost extinct, if you ask me.
So, now I wait, as I have always done in the past. I will be as vigilant as can be. And decide slowly but surely on who to vote for. There's no rush. I tell that to myself. Choosing a leader takes time and effort. I have only one vote so I can't afford to lose it , much less, let it go to waste. I will bide my time and make sure I only vote for that someone who have the country's best interest at heart, because in this country festered by rampant corruption and politicking, I'm sure that "good intentions" count, big-time.
So, who will you vote for President in 2010? Do surveys affect your voting decision this early?
Malacanang, as early as now, eyes several other people as successors to PGMA -- Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro, Senator Richard Gordon, Chairman Bayani Fernando of the Metropolitan Manila Development Authority, and Quezon City Mayor Feliciano Belmonte. These people are being considered aside from VP Noli de Castro who has been enjoying wide popularity in recent SWS surveys.
And, as early as now, I think it doesn't take a genius to see that their additional choices don't have a slight chance in hell at winning the presidency even with Malacanang's so-called "political machinery". In a country as disillusioned as ours, popularity is still a major factor for winning. And while popularity isn't everything (as proven by the many "celebrities" who lost in their quest for electoral positions in the previous elections), it is still undeniably a major consideration or shall I say, a significant determinant of a candidate's winnability. Continue reading →
Okay, I know. I'm quite sure there's definitely a better title out there, but right now, I am at a loss for words, so cut me some slack and give me time to think through this and probably, just probably, after a few hours or so (or days), I might actually come up with a better, more catchy phrase to put up there. For now, bear with me, if it's not too much of an inconvenience to you dear "chance" reader.
For the visually-challenged, the banner reads: BINAY: OBAMA OF THE PHILIPPINES.
So anyway, let me begin by saying that the first thing that came to my mind when I saw this photo is the same two-word-and-seemingly-meaningless title of this post, which is -- to over-emphasize for the purpose of my personal amusement -- what the %$#@??!! :) For a while there, I thought Obama has suddenly become Binay's running-mate for 2010 -- or that this entire banner was just a joke -- turns out it's not or is it? :) Now, I know us Filipinos have a way with words, phrases, jokes and what-not's. But this -- this is -- I don't even know exactly where to put it, really -- so let me just use this rather exaggerated and probably not-so-accurate description but this is the closest I can come up with -- it's like a "cliche". I don't think there is a need to expound or build on this idea. It is very elementary my dears. Continue reading →
Photo by briPod >Seventeen months and counting. That's how long before the much-awaited Philippine Presidential Elections of May 2010 happens -- assuming that our dear President Gloria doesn't succeed in perpetuating herself in power beyond 2010 -- and assuming that the prayers of the faithful would be given more weight by God, instead of the prayers of her leeches, err allies. Hello, Secretary Dureza. :)
Once again, we, the Filipino voting population, highly deluded that we are in control , would attempt to change the course of history and put a "rightful" candidate in the seat of power that is Malacanang. Our "righteous" king (or queen) will then raise his (or her) magical scepter and cast a spell of hope and healing to The Sick Man of Asia and poof, we are alive and well again, raring to go on and press on towards that dream of once again being Asia's Finest... and claim our title as the Pearl of The Orient. Wishful thinking, friends. Wishful thinking.
Truth is, we are not in control. At least, not anymore. Or not yet.
Amidst this economic crisis we are faced with, news articles still have room for politics and 2010 elections-related articles. That's not surprising -- considering how grossly-invested we are in our politics.
I've read a few hundred news feeds today (most of those I merely "scanned" and skimmed-through) as I don't exactly have all day to read all, you know. Well, I've read the usual -- the Obama frenzy, the doomsday economic prophecies, the life sentence given to Rizal Day LRT bombers, etc. But this one article written by Mark Ubalde of GMANews.tv was interesting enough to me that I read the entire article. Continue reading →
You guessed it right, dear.Manuel "Manny" Villar. No, it's not the "Itik" commercial that plays several times a day during "primetime" Philippine TV. No, it's not the "OFW assistance" commercial that played regularly months before You guessed it right, dear. Manuel "Manny" Villar. No, it's not the "Itik" commercial that plays several times a day during "primetime" Philippine TV. No, it's not the "OFW assistance" commercial that played regularly months before "Itik". No, it's not because he's impossibly rich. No, it's not because I lived 15 years or so of my life in Las Pinas City. No, it's not the hair. It's not his eventual resignation as Senate President following that road budget "insertion" controversy. No, it's not the consistent double digit figure in polls conducted by SWS Surveys or Pulse Asia or whatever.
Villar to me is a viable candidate for President in the upcoming 2010 Presidential Elections (let's cross our fingers that we all get to vote on that day, and that we actually have the chance...I'm sure you are all aware of the possibility of No-El in the context of a Cha-Cha via Con-Con or Con-Ass...haha..what amusing shortcut terms..). While a lot of people might say that Villar is banking on the merits of having risen from poverty to riches to fame and power, let us also remember that it a fact that we can't really argue with. So let's give him that. And speaking of surveys, November 28 - Dec 1, 2009's SWS Survey re: "Choices for President in 2010":Villar clearly shows a steady ascend at 27%. He may not be at the top yet, but hey, it's workable.
De Castro - 31% --- Sure, this is high. But where's he gonna get the money? And if he does "find" funding, how's he gonna pay it back?
Legarda - 28% -- Oh, please.
Villar - 27% -- Villar for President in 2010!
Escudero - 19% -- Nah. Too inexperienced. Stay at the Senate please.
Lacson - 14% -- Too involved with self.
Estrada - 11% -- His time has come and gone.
Roxas - 10% -- For personal reasons, I would have to say "no comment"
Binay - 2% -- Not a chance.
Bayani - 1% -- Ditto.
As of now, I don't have much time to expound on this idea or the reasons by which I arrived at this decision or choice. But, rest assured, when I do have the time, I shall write about it in full passion and conviction. For now, I leave you with this rather dry and short post. I am sorry if this will leave you hanging -- bewitched, bothered and bewildered. While it's a lame excuse for you to come back again and visit this blog for that "comprehensive post on the decision to vote for manny villar for president come 2010", I know that the loyal reader that you are will never let me down. And well, of course, you can expect the same from me. So, come back soon, eh? *hugs*
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